At a Glance
- Prominent XRP supporter John Squire asked if $10 XRP is possible this month
- Current price sits below $2.10, requiring a 400% surge in 14 days
- ChatGPT called the January target “extremely unlikely”
- For 2026, AI gives 20% odds of reaching double digits
Why it matters: The gap between crypto community hype and market reality shows how extreme price predictions can spread without fundamental backing.
The XRP Army’s latest price prediction faces harsh mathematical realities. A leading community member floated the idea of $10 XRP within weeks, but the numbers don’t add up.
The $10 January Prediction That Defies Math
John Squire, one of the most visible members of the XRP community, posted an image of the token alongside a simple question: could it hit $10 before January ends?
The current trading price sits below $2.10. Reaching Squire’s target would require:
- A 376% price increase
- Completion within 14 days
- Market cap growth of hundreds of billions
Ethan R. Coleman tested this prediction by consulting ChatGPT for analysis. The AI’s assessment was blunt: “extremely unlikely.”
Three Impossible Conditions
ChatGPT outlined the required catalysts for such a surge:
• A broad crypto market breakout led by Bitcoin
• Massive, sudden institutional inflows into XRP specifically
• A clear regulatory or adoption shock that redefines XRP’s valuation overnight
The AI noted that none of these conditions currently exist. Even during XRP’s biggest historical rallies, the gains took months to materialize, not weeks.
“Without an extraordinary black-swan catalyst, a $10 XRP this month falls firmly into the low-probability, hype-driven narrative category,” ChatGPT concluded.
2026 Brings Different Math
The conversation shifts when the timeline extends to 2026. ChatGPT acknowledged that while still speculative, $10 XRP within two years “is not impossible.”
The AI outlined necessary conditions for this longer-term target:
• Sustained institutional adoption of Ripple’s payment infrastructure
• Continued expansion of XRP’s role in cross-border settlements
• Favorable regulatory clarity in major markets
• A broader bull market that lifts larger-cap altcoins
In an optimal scenario combining these factors, ChatGPT projected a more realistic range of $5-$7 for XRP. $10 would represent “the upper extreme of a bull-case scenario, not the base expectation.”
The 20% Reality Check
The AI assigned actual odds of reaching double digits at any point in 2026: 20%.
This assessment highlights the chasm between crypto community enthusiasm and market fundamentals. While the XRP Army’s loyalty drives social media engagement, mathematical realities remain unchanged.
The analysis reveals how quickly extreme price predictions can spread without fundamental backing. January’s $10 target requires market conditions that don’t exist. Even the more reasonable 2026 timeline faces long odds.
For XRP holders, the takeaway is clear: social media hype rarely translates to short-term price reality. The math simply doesn’t support a 400% surge in two weeks, regardless of community enthusiasm.
