At a Glance
- Pi Network token fell to a new all-time low below $0.17, a drop of 95% from its $3 peak a year ago.
- AI chatbots say a total crash to $0 is possible but would need extreme events, with chances below 20% before the end of 2026.
- Token unlocks of 150 million coins in the next month add pressure, while a low RSI of 23 hints at a potential rebound.
Why it matters: Investors watching Pi Network may face significant risk as market conditions and token economics create a fragile environment for the project’s valuation.
Pi Network’s native token, once trading near $3, has plunged below $0.17, prompting speculation about a possible total collapse. AI-powered chatbots have weighed in on the likelihood of a $0 crash, citing selling pressure, token unlocks, and weak fundamentals. The discussion highlights the volatility surrounding the project and the importance of monitoring key metrics.
Market Context
Pi Network, a social-media-linked cryptocurrency, has experienced a steep decline in value over the past year. The token’s price dropped from $3 to below $0.17, a nearly 95% loss.
The broader market remains bearish, with many altcoins struggling to maintain support levels. This environment amplifies concerns about Pi Network’s ability to sustain investor confidence.
AI Chatbot Assessments
ChatGPT
ChatGPT stated that Pi could theoretically crash to $0 sometime this year. It cited:
- strong selling pressure
- weak fundamentals (for now)
- poor market conditions
- investor loss of confidence
The model added that a total crash would require an extreme, project-ending event and that the likelihood of a plunge to $0 before the end of 2026 is less than 20%.
> “A deep drop is possible, especially if selling pressure continues and no positive catalysts appear. But a total crash to exactly $0 would require extreme, project-ending events, which are not clearly in place right now,” said ChatGPT.
Grok
Grok, the AI integrated within the social media platform X, estimated a 5-10% chance of a $0 crash. It warned that the constant token unlocks remain a significant obstacle that could further increase selling pressure.
- Over 150 million coins are scheduled for release in the next 30 days.
- The average daily unlock is about 5 million.
Gemini
Google’s Gemini argued that a crash is possible but extremely rare for a project with millions of users. It stated:
> “PI is unlikely to hit literally $0.00 as long as there is one person willing to buy, but it is currently in a ‘make or break’ year.”
Perplexity
Perplexity focused on technical indicators, noting that Pi’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) has fallen to oversold levels, suggesting a potential rebound.
- RSI ranges from 0 to 100; values below 30 indicate oversold conditions.
- Pi’s RSI currently stands at 23.
> “The RSI stands at around 23, hinting at a possible resurgence,” said Perplexity.
Token Unlock Dynamics
The scheduled release of 150 million tokens over the next month introduces additional supply pressure. A daily unlock of 5 million tokens could exacerbate selling pressure, especially if market sentiment remains negative.
| Period | Tokens Released | Daily Average |
|---|---|---|
| Next 30 days | 150 million | 5 million |
The timing of these unlocks coincides with a period of declining price, raising concerns among holders.
Technical Indicators
Beyond the RSI, other metrics such as moving averages and volume trends are crucial for assessing Pi Network’s short-term prospects. However, the current data points to a challenging environment:
- RSI at 23 (oversold)
- Price below $0.17 (all-time low)
- Token unlocks adding supply
These indicators suggest that while a rebound is possible, the risk of a further decline remains.
Investor Sentiment
Market participants are increasingly wary of Pi Network’s future. The combination of a steep price drop, token unlocks, and weak fundamentals has led to a loss of confidence. Some investors are considering selling to avoid potential losses, which could create a feedback loop of additional selling pressure.
Key Takeaways
- Pi Network’s token has fallen to a new low below $0.17, a 95% drop from its $3 peak.
- AI chatbots assess a possible $0 crash, with probabilities ranging from 5-10% (Grok) to less than 20% (ChatGPT) before the end of 2026.
- Token unlocks of 150 million coins over the next month add supply pressure.
- The RSI at 23 indicates oversold conditions but does not guarantee a rebound.
- Investors should monitor price movements, token unlock schedules, and technical indicators closely.
The situation remains fluid, and continued vigilance is essential for those holding Pi Network tokens.
