> At a Glance
> – Dogecoin has climbed 16% this week to $0.147, holding above last week’s $0.117 low
> – A repeating five-quarter decline pattern suggests the late-2025 slide has ended and a multi-quarter recovery could start
> – Analysts flag $1 by 2026 and upside targets of $0.65 and $1.25 if prior 9,000% rallies repeat
> – Why it matters: Long-term holders watch for confirmation that the meme-coin’s cyclical bottom is in
Dogecoin’s price action is flashing early signals that its five-quarter downtrend may have ended, with volume and historical patterns pointing toward a recovery phase that could stretch into 2027.
Price Momentum Builds
The token trades at $0.147 after a 16% weekly gain, even with a minor 3% intraday pullback. Daily volume sits at $1.83 billion, while open interest has risen to $2.27 billion-signs that traders are repositioning.
- Buy volume: 1.83 billion
- Sell volume: 2.01 billion
- Net flow remains negative, so sellers are still present
Historical Cycle Hints at Recovery
Trader Tardigrade highlights a three-year repeating cycle on the 3-month chart: each cycle shows five quarters down, five quarters of recovery, then four quarters of rally. The latest down-phase appears to have concluded in late 2025, and the current candle suggests the recovery phase is beginning.
> Tardigrade noted:
> “$DOGE might be entering a recovery phase and gearing up for an uptrend.”
The pattern implies the next major uptrend leg could emerge around 2027.
Long-Term Targets Back in Focus
Crypto analyst Javon Marks underlines prior 9,000% and 28,000% rallies, arguing another 9,000% move would place Dogecoin near $10. His nearer-term targets are:
- $0.65
- $1.25
Separately, @Investments_CEO predicts $1 by the end of 2026, citing potential ETF developments and adoption trends.
On-Chain Flows Mixed
- SoSoValue logged minor inflows of just over $2 million this month
- CryptoPototo observed large holders sold roughly 150 million DOGE recently
Key Takeaways
- Historical five-quarter decline pattern looks complete, raising odds of a multi-quarter recovery
- RSI at 42 has ticked up from lows, showing bearish pressure may be easing
- Analysts retain $1-plus targets for 2026 if prior percentage gains repeat
- Negative net flow means sellers remain active, so confirmation is still pending
Dogecoin’s next move depends on whether bulls can flip the current resistance zone into support and sustain volume above the $1.8 billion mark.
