> At a Glance
> – Donald Trump told House Republicans Tuesday that Democrats will impeach him again if the GOP loses the midterms
> – The speech landed on the fifth anniversary of the Jan. 6 Capitol attack
> – Recent polling shows 50% of voters want Democrats to control Congress, 42% prefer Republicans
> – Why it matters: Control of Congress could determine whether Trump faces a historic third impeachment
Donald Trump issued a stark warning to House Republicans at their policy retreat, tying the party’s midterm fate directly to his own political survival.
Trump’s Impeachment Prediction
Speaking at the newly renamed Trump-Kennedy Center, the president said:
> “You got to win the midterms, because if we don’t win the midterms, it’s just going to be – I mean, they’ll find a reason to impeach me. I’ll get impeached.”
Trump remains the only U.S. president impeached twice by the House:
- 2019: charged over pressuring Ukraine to investigate Joe Biden
- 2021: charged for his role in the Jan. 6 Capitol attack
Both times the Senate fell short of the two-thirds majority needed for conviction.
Midterm Stakes
All House seats and one-third of Senate seats are on the ballot in November. Historical trends favor the party out of the White House.
An NBC News poll in October showed Democrats with an 8-point edge on the generic ballot:
| Preference | Share |
|---|---|
| Democratic Congress | 50% |
| Republican Congress | 42% |
| Margin of error | ±3.1% |
Republican operatives told NBC News in July they plan to use impeachment fears to drive turnout even though Trump’s name won’t appear on ballots.
Jan. 6 Anniversary Context
Trump’s retreat speech coincided with the fifth anniversary of the Capitol riot. On his first day back in office he issued blanket pardons to hundreds of Jan. 6 defendants, including those convicted of violent crimes.
Key Takeaways
- Trump frames the midterms as a referendum on his political future
- Democrats previously flipped 41 House seats in 2018 after campaigning against him
- Current polling shows most voters believe the country is on the wrong track, with the economy as the top concern
- Republicans must defend narrow House and Senate majorities in a challenging environment
The president’s message is clear: hold Congress or risk another impeachment battle.
