At a Glance
- XRP is testing the $2.12 support inside a descending channel on the five-day chart
- EGRAG CRYPTO puts breakout probability at 60% if price clears $2.30
- Spot ETFs have absorbed almost 1% of circulating supply since mid-Nov 2025
- Why it matters: Traders are weighing whether the pullback is a buying opportunity or a signal of deeper correction
XRP’s retreat to $2.12 has split opinion, with one closely watched chartist labeling the move a “controlled correction” rather than distribution while fresh ETF inflows keep bulls hopeful.
Price Outlook
EGRAG CRYPTO told followers the token needs a five-day close above the 21-period EMA and a channel break near $2.30 to confirm upside momentum.
> “Until then → it’s just a bounce inside the channel, not a breakout.”
The framework assigns odds of:
- 60% for a push toward $3.10-$3.30
- 30% for sideways action
- 10% for a slide toward $1
Flow Signals
Trading desks noticed a $23 million volume spike in a single minute, hinting at larger-than-retail participation.
Spot ETFs have pulled in roughly $1.2 billion since launch, tightening available supply.
Mixed Technical Cues
- The XRP Taker Buy/Sell Ratio on Binance hit a one-month high, showing selling pressure easing
- Cheds Trading flagged the largest four-hour volume candle in a month as potential resistance rejection
- Order-book data shows sell walls stacked between $2.17 and $2.25
| Metric | Current | 7-day Change |
|---|---|---|
| Price | $2.10+ | +12% |
| Market Cap Rank | 3rd (non-stablecoin) | overtook BNB |
| ETF Supply Absorbed | ~1% | since Nov 2025 |
Key Takeaways
- Analysts view the pullback as healthy consolidation within an intact uptrend
- A decisive break above $2.30 could trigger the next leg toward $3+
- ETF inflows continue to offset potential selling from recent highs
With 2026 scenarios ranging from $10 on institutional adoption to $1 on profit-taking, all eyes stay glued to the $2.30 ceiling for the next cue.
